The first forecast for the 2021 hurricane season is it out. And the prediction is that we are about to get very busy installing impact windows for Broward County homeowners.
The Colorado State University Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 2021 indicates that we can expect above-normal activity.
ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2021
Issue Date 8 April 2021
- Named Storms 17
- Named Storm Days 80
- Hurricanes 8
- Hurricane Days 35
- Major Hurricanes 4
- Major Hurricane Days 9
- Accumulated Cyclone Energy 150
- Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (160
Probabilities for at least one major hurricane (characterized as either a category 3, 4 or 5 storm) making landfall in each of the following coastal areas:
- Anywhere on the continental U.S. coastline – 69% (as compared to a 52% average for last century)
- The East Coast of the United States, including Florida – 45% (compared to an average for the last century of 31%)
- The U.S. Gulf Coast, which encompasses the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville – 44% (compared to a 30% average for the last century)
Probability for at least one major (category 3-4-5) hurricane tracking into the Caribbean: 58% (which is significantly higher than the average for the last century, which is 42%)
What are the conditions that lead forecasters to that conclusion? According to the report:
- A weak La Niña system is currently in place, meaning atmospheric conditions are ripe for hurricane formation. “Conditions may transition to neutral ENSO by this summer/fall, but the odds of a significant El Niño seem unlikely,” the report says.
- And then there are the warming waters. “Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are currently near average, while subtropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures are warmer than normal,” they explain..
But, as the experts at CSU say, “As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.”
If you don’t want to take chances with an active hurricane season and would like information about impact windows and doors, please contact us. Financing for your impact windows is available.